Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 8.116931 9.449340 10.883797 12.537304 14.384897 16.379984 18.691279
2025-03-09 6.269337 7.962346 9.907756 12.289267 15.105726 18.309843 22.208863
2025-03-16 4.960297 6.802573 9.042517 11.927021 15.500659 19.739055 25.098457
2025-03-23 4.178186 6.130740 8.623908 11.974970 16.289238 21.581504 28.480875
2025-03-30 3.537558 5.531440 8.195621 11.918355 16.877692 23.143179 31.528735
2025-04-06 3.095779 5.130560 7.963137 12.059597 17.681372 24.965308 34.932915
2025-04-13 2.732168 4.785767 7.756857 12.192208 18.445688 26.733628 38.300832
2025-04-20 2.491328 4.588579 7.729425 12.551231 19.511044 28.916233 42.264591
2025-04-27 2.256373 4.367260 7.637047 12.793850 20.405126 30.880499 45.981822
2025-05-04 1.996237 4.069380 7.394645 12.784666 20.920514 32.323355 49.016950
2025-05-11 1.658618 3.592760 6.822674 12.223898 20.584320 32.540834 50.344237
2025-05-18 1.439458 3.294714 6.506835 12.027911 20.762839 33.473779 52.676195
2025-05-25 1.224941 2.976513 6.128708 11.705946 20.732868 34.105819 54.609072
2025-06-01 1.069195 2.748882 5.882541 11.576064 20.982996 35.144163 57.143134
2025-06-08 0.910271 2.489122 5.551219 11.273579 20.934530 35.722258 59.007909
2025-06-15 0.818085 2.357054 5.440276 11.337372 21.470057 37.189862 62.213759
2025-06-22 0.723885 2.204975 5.275253 11.290623 21.814894 38.367363 65.008275
2025-06-29 0.659879 2.112867 5.217339 11.429049 22.468110 40.035816 68.577861
2025-07-06 0.601421 2.024545 5.157727 11.557432 23.104531 41.690476 72.160440
2025-07-13 0.567868 1.994047 5.213458 11.902096 24.121403 43.971780 76.753283
2025-07-20 0.527487 1.938942 5.211678 12.134927 24.949422 45.968987 80.946823
2025-07-27 0.472151 1.833015 5.089886 12.126221 25.348748 47.280227 84.095346
2025-08-03 0.386739 1.622526 4.713749 11.588713 24.777294 46.983940 84.700712